BEIJING, Jan. 5 (Xinhua) -- The required reserve
ratio for financial institutes engaging in deposit business will be raised by
0.5 percentage points from Jan. 15, the People's Bank of China announced Friday.
The move showed the central bank's determination to continue implementing a stable money policy to tighten up the
bank's liquidity management, experts said.
Astronomical foreign exchange reserve has made the
central bank anxious about investment rebound, said Wang Xiaoguang, an economist
with the National Development and Reform Commission.
Wang, supporting both the interest rate hike and
reserve ratio rise for economy cool-down, expected the central bank to continue
raising reserve ratio in the future.
The central bank lifted bank deposit reserve ratio
three times by the same margin of 0.5 percentage points in 2006.
"A moderate increase of 0.5 percentage points shows
that the central bank continues to finetune the market, instead of using drastic
moves to consolidate the effects of macro-regulation," said Li Yongsen, a
professor with the finance and securities institute under the People's
University of China.
The three hikes last year helped take around 460
billion yuan out of the banking system.
Mao Yushi, another renowned economist in China, said
it is more efficient to directly raise interest rate.
"The consecutive reserve ratio increases last year
did not apparently alleviate the problem of excessive liquidity," he said.
Merely raising the reserve ratio is hard to sort out
the excessive liquidity since it involves a series of complicated problems such
as international balance of payment, said Zhao Peng,president of Anhui branch of
the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China. The policy should be set in an
all-around way, he added.
The rise of deposit and lending interest rates,
however, will generate new pressure for a further appreciation of the Renminbi
(RMB), and even lead to stock index slump, analysts said.
The government is worrying about the too-fast index
climb in the stock market, said Tao Dong, an economist with Credit Suisse.
During the last week of 2006, the benchmark Shanghai
Composite Index soared more than 10 percent.
Liquidity was extremely excessive in 2006 due to fast
growth of trade surplus over the past two years.
By November 2006, the gap between bank deposits and
loans reached 11 trillion yuan, trade surplus exceeded 150 billion U.S. dollars
and state foreign exchange reserve topped one trillion U.S. dollars.
Excessive liquidity prompted banks to speed up
lending, which in turn spurred investment and led to economic overheating last
year.
The central bank thus strengthened its open market
operations to withdraw liquidity and at the same time adopted retrenching
measures such as raising interest rate, lifting required reserve rate and
issuing central bank bills to keep liquidity growth within the controllable
range.
As ample fluidity is expected to last, analysts said
that the central bank will continue to strengthen fluidity control in 2007 by
employing such tools as central bank bills and required reserverate.
To reduce excessive fluidity, the central bank
withdrew some 1.2 trillion yuan in 2006 through open market operations and
upward adjustments of required reserve ratio.
The figure included about 771 billion yuan withdrawn
through open market operations and 460 billion yuan frozen from three upward
adjustments of required reserve rate totaling 1.5 percentage points.