BEIJING, April 4 -- U.S. Secretary of Commerce Carlos Gutierrez announced
last Friday that the United States would slap punitive tariffs on glossy paper
imported from China to protect American manufacturers from the impact of China's
government-subsidized products.
This decision means the U.S. would start levying 10.9 percent to 20.4
percent countervailing duties on China-made glossy paper. It would be the first
time in 23 years that the U.S. uses the countervailing act against a "non-market
economy" such as China.
The explanation Gutierrez gave for this decision was that today's China is
not what it was a few years ago and, as China has developed, the means for the
U.S. to ensure fair trade should be expanded as well.
This explanation is far from convincing. Previously the U.S. did not apply
the countervailing act on China because its economy was rather weak; whereas
today it is necessary to punish China because it is more developed economically.
Does this mean the level of China's economic development will be the main
criterion for the U.S. to decide whether to employ punitive measures against
China?
Another puzzling fact is that, since the U.S. has never recognized China as
a "market economy", why did it abandon the pragmatic approach pursued for more
than 20 years on the issue of government subsidies for some Chinese industries?
By breaking with the usual practice, Washington is subjecting China to
double injustice as it unfairly treats China as a "non-market economy" with
punishment meant for "market economies". With this move the Bush administration
has opened the door for other U.S. industries such as steel and furniture to
follow suit. This would very likely deal a heavy blow to normal economic and
trade relations between the two countries.
What has prompted the U.S. to make a move that defies the hidden rules on
bilateral trade? The root cause is domestic politics. Since the beginning of
this year, the trade subcommittee of the House of Representatives Ways and Means
Committee and Senate Finance Committee have held four hearings on issues
including China's currency exchange rate, intellectual property rights, opening
of China's financial market and the trade imbalance.
Democratic Senator Charles Schumer and Republican Senator Lindsey Graham
are back again with a bill that "the president cannot veto" to force China to
relax its control on the RMB exchange rate. Such topics are making the rounds
again because the Democrat-controlled Congress wants to show off its influence
by increasing pressure on the Bush administration to push China. Senator Schumer
and his like-minded colleagues are eager to attract public attention by playing
a remix of the RMB exchange rate oldie.
As the U.S. presidential election campaigns heat up, neither the Democratic
nor the Republican Party wants to be seen as indifferent to the growing trade
deficit with China. They both hope to win over U.S. voters by scoring against
China.
Another important reason for the Bush administration to give up the usual
practice of resisting Congressional pressure to launch unilateral actions
against China is that the U.S. side has failed to achieve any breakthrough in
China-U.S. strategic dialogue on economic or other issues. Even Treasury
Secretary Henry Paulson, who is relatively soft on China, has become impatient.
The U.S. government decided to use punitive measures against China this
time as a response to domestic political pressure along with the hope of forcing
China into more compromises before the second round of bilateral strategic
dialogue on economy in Washington next month.
In fact, what is really behind the U.S. Congress' repeated pestering and
Washington's punitive measures is the erroneous interpretation of the
development of Sino-U.S. trade ties, its ultra-alarmist response to the growth
of China's economic strength, and its attempt to shirk responsibility for
failing to make correct policy adjustments.
Three trends in China's economic development in recent years have made the
U.S. uneasy. The first is the U.S. trade deficit with China reaching 232.5
billion U.S. dollars, accounting for 30 percent of the country's total trade
deficit. The second is China's foreign currency reserve exceeding 1 trillion
dollars as it holds nearly 300 billion dollars worth of U.S. treasury bonds. The
third is the heavy impact on the New York Stock Exchange of the Shanghai stock
market's sharp drop on February 28.
Faced with these numbers and facts, few U.S. lawmakers looked for the
causes in the fact that American consumers prefer spending to saving and that
Washington had lost many opportunities to rebalance bilateral trade because of
its insistence on over-politicizing bilateral trade ties, always blaming China.
The lawmakers are only too ready to accuse China rather than search for ways to
improve U.S. competitiveness.
As China-U.S. economic and trade relations become more mutually dependent,
an increase in trade disputes, frictions and even conflicts will occur. This is
a normal and natural process. Since China-U.S. trade suffers from structural
defects, it would be unrealistic to expect to cure all with one quick fix.
The establishment of the China-U.S. Joint Committee on Economy and Trade
and strategic dialogue on the economy were meant to limit friction and resolve
differences. Rational dialogue was seen as the way to make bilateral economic
and trade ties healthier and more stable. Losing one's cool and jumping to
retaliation just because one round of talks failed to solve the problem will
only damage normal bilateral trade relations and oneself.
The author is a researcher with the China Institute of Contemporary
International Relations
(Source: China Daily)