BEIJING, May 12 (Xinhua) -- China's consumer price
index (CPI),the main gauge of inflation, rose 8.5 percent year-on-year in April,
the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said on Monday.
The figure, compared with 8.3 percent in March and a
nearly 12-year-high of 8.7 percent in February, was broadly in line with most
forecasts.
The NBS attributed the figure to a low base of
comparison: the CPI rose just 3 percent in April 2007. Another factor was the
rapid increase in world grain and commodity prices.
"Price rises are stable in general. Compared with
March, the CPI in April was not substantially higher and prices of some items
even fell," said Zhang Liqun, a macro-economist with the Development Research
Center of the State Council, China's Cabinet. "That means fewer new driving
factors for price rises."
Housing prices in April rose 6.8 percent
year-on-year, 0.2 percentage points less than in March. Telecommunications,
transportation, clothing, recreational, educational and cultural prices also
fell.
"China still faced with high inflationary pressure,
driven by expanding domestic demand," said researcher Yin Jianfeng at the
Institute of Finance and Banking of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.
However, "the balance between supply and demand
remained stable," said Yin.
Yin added that the government shouldn't resort to
further increases in interest rates and bank reserve ratios.
The central bank has raised interest rates six times
and the reserve requirement ratio 13 times since last year to curb inflation and
prevent economic overheating.
Yin said higher food prices, which account for more
than a third of the CPI, could stimulate the production of farm produce.
Food prices soared 22.1 percent in April, 0.7
percentage points higher than in March.
The price of meat rose 47.9 percent, with pork
surging 68.3 percent. Cooking oil prices went up 46.6 percent, with vegetables
up 13.6 percent and seafood up 16.1 percent.
Grain prices climbed 7.4 percent year-on-year, 0.6
percentage points up from March.
"The month-on-month rise of grain prices was small,
which was not consistent with the international market trend," said Zhang. "It
shows domestic farm prices were not much affected by international factors."
Grain price increases have accelerated on global
markets, with wheat prices on the Chicago Board of Trade surging more than 140
percent and rice prices up more than 80 percent in March.
However, Tan Yaling, a researcher in the global
financial markets department of the Bank of China, said soaring world prices of
raw materials and crude oil would affect domestic price levels to a greater
extent than ever, as the country's links with the outside grew rapidly.
China allowed its currency to appreciate more than 4
percent against the weakening U.S. dollar in the first quarter amid efforts to
curb import prices.
It has also imposed price ceilings on domestic
refined oil products and electricity despite surging world energy prices.
In the first four months of this year, the CPI rose
8.2 percent from the same period last year, or 7.8 percent in urban areas and
8.8 percent in the countryside.
The government should closely follow price
fluctuations and give more priority to curbing price hikes and preventing
inflation, said the NBS.
China has adopted a tight monetary policy despite
increasing concern over a global economic downturn.
Fighting inflation remained the top concern of
China's monetary policy makers, said Governor Zhou Xiaochuan of the People's
Bank of China on Saturday.
"A big concern is whether the sharply higher food
prices could trigger price rises in other sectors," said Zhuang Jian, a senior
economist with the Asian Development Bank mission in China.
Non-food prices in April were up 1.8 percent
year-on-year, compared with 1.4 percent in November.
The producer price index (PPI), which measures the
value of finished products when they leave the factory, rose 8.1 percent in
April year-on- year, setting three-year highs for a fourth consecutive month.
China's target of keeping the whole year CPI rise at
about 4.8 percent would be difficult to hit, said NBS chief economist Yao
Jingyuan on Sunday.
He said food prices will continue to rise in China,
as the rootcause lies in the economic structure. "We have long relied on
industrial growth and ignored agricultural development," said Yao. "Now the
accumulated problems are exposed."
"The CPI will eventually fall later this year," said
Zhang. "The slowdown of export growth should draw more attention."
Following the release of the CPI figures, the General
Administration of Customs said on Monday that exports in April rose 21.8 percent
year-on -year to 118.71 billion U.S. dollars, down from the 30.6-percent growth
in March.
The April trade surplus dropped 1.14 percent
year-on-year to 16.68 billion U.S. dollars.
While curbing inflation, the government should attach
more significance to the influence of dampened global demand on exports, which
could cause an economic slowdown, said researcher Cai Zhizhou at the China
Center for National Accounting and Economic Growth of Peking University.
PBOC: Cutting inflation to remain top
goal
BEIJING, May 11 -- China's monetary authorities are
struggling to address conflicting policy goals, but inflation will remain the
top policy concern, the country's central bank governor said on Saturday.
While the United States and other countries are more
focused on fending off a recession, China's monetary policy must target
inflation over growth and employment, Zhou Xiaochuan, the People's Bank of China
governor, told a forum in Lujiazui, Shanghai's financial center. Full story
Banker: Reducing trade surplus key to
growth
BEIJING, May 11 -- China needs to cut its high
savings rate to boost consumption and reduce the trade surplus, People's Bank
of China Governor Zhou Xiaochuan said Saturday.
"The government has pledged to boost consumption and
cut the surpluses in trade and capital accounts," Zhou said at the Lujiazui
Forum 2008 in Shanghai. That "requires that we reduce the current high savings
ratio," he said. Full story
China keeps stable domestic grain
market
BEIJING, May 11 (Xinhua) -- Amid a major wave of
international grain price hikes, China has managed to maintain stable domestic
prices.
Wheat prices on the Chicago Board of Trade surged
more than 140 percent in March, and rice prices went up over 80 percent.Full story
China's producer price index up 8.1%
in April
BEIJING, May 9 (Xinhua)
-- The producer price index (PPI) for China's industrial products rose 8.1
percent in April over the same month last year, putting on more pressure on the
nation's inflation rate, the National Bureau of Statistics said Friday.
The factory-gate prices of raw materials, fuel and power
were up 11.8 percent. Full story
Inflation expected to go down in
Q2
BEIJING, May 7 -- Inflation could dip to 7.5 percent
in the second quarter from 8 percent in the first, but inflationary pressures
will stay strong because of surging grain prices and robust investment, said a
top government think tank.
"Seasonal changes and government measures to boost
agricultural supplies may cause consumer prices to slide in the second quarter,"
the State Information Center said in a report. "But inflationary pressure is
still mounting because of domestic and international factors." Full story
Greater controls set to protect
economy
BEIJING, May. 10 -- High inflation and fixed-asset
investment growth are China's biggest economic concerns, prompting authorities
to persist with a tight monetary policy, Vice-Premier Wang Qishan said on
Friday.
In an address to the Lujiazui Forum in Shanghai, Wang
also said the government would take specific measures, including prudent fiscal
policies and strengthened and refined macroeconomic controls, to curb an
overheated economy and inflation. Full story
China's inflation pressures ease, but
target still elusive
BEIJING, May 4 (Xinhua) -- The slowing growth of
China's main inflation indicator is set to continue in the April figures, thanks
to falling farm produce prices, market analysts said on Sunday.
The consumer price index (CPI), which hit 8.7 percent
for February and 8.3 percent for March, would probably be around 8 percent for
April over the same month last year, said Chen Jijun, an analyst with Citic
Securities. Full story